Lucas Ribeiro leads the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent after assuming office in April 2026 when João Azevêdo resigned to seek a Senate seat. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him first in the first-round vote, with shares between 35% and 42%, ahead of Efraim Filho and Cícero Lucena. Second-round simulations show him prevailing by double-digit margins against either main challenger. His PP-led coalition has secured broad alliances, and surveys indicate approval ratings near 61% for his administration. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring his victory on October 4, while lower-priced alternatives reflect weaker polling support and narrower paths to a runoff or outright win.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 11%
Cícero Lucena 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.4%
$61,208 Vol.
$61,208 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
81%
Efraim Filho
11%
Cícero Lucena
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 81%
Efraim Filho 11%
Cícero Lucena 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.4%
$61,208 Vol.
$61,208 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,055 Vol.
81%
Efraim Filho
$13,791 Vol.
11%
Cícero Lucena
$20,448 Vol.
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
$861 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$843 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,398 Vol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,341 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro leads the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent after assuming office in April 2026 when João Azevêdo resigned to seek a Senate seat. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him first in the first-round vote, with shares between 35% and 42%, ahead of Efraim Filho and Cícero Lucena. Second-round simulations show him prevailing by double-digit margins against either main challenger. His PP-led coalition has secured broad alliances, and surveys indicate approval ratings near 61% for his administration. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring his victory on October 4, while lower-priced alternatives reflect weaker polling support and narrower paths to a runoff or outright win.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$61,208Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro leads the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent after assuming office in April 2026 when João Azevêdo resigned to seek a Senate seat. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him first in the first-round vote, with shares between 35% and 42%, ahead of Efraim Filho and Cícero Lucena. Second-round simulations show him prevailing by double-digit margins against either main challenger. His PP-led coalition has secured broad alliances, and surveys indicate approval ratings near 61% for his administration. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring his victory on October 4, while lower-priced alternatives reflect weaker polling support and narrower paths to a runoff or outright win.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$61,208Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro leads the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race as the incumbent after assuming office in April 2026 when João Azevêdo resigned to seek a Senate seat. Recent polls from late August and early September consistently place him first in the first-round vote, with shares between 35% and 42%, ahead of Efraim Filho and Cícero Lucena. Second-round simulations show him prevailing by double-digit margins against either main challenger. His PP-led coalition has secured broad alliances, and surveys indicate approval ratings near 61% for his administration. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring his victory on October 4, while lower-priced alternatives reflect weaker polling support and narrower paths to a runoff or outright win.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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