Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in New Jersey's 5th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+2 partisan voter index. Gottheimer's moderate profile, large cash reserves exceeding $12 million, and unopposed June primary have limited any meaningful Republican challenge from nominee Sean Kirrane, who trails sharply in fundraising. All rating outlets have held the district in the Democratic column since mid-2025, reflecting consistent local dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or major national shifts could still influence the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNJ-05 House Election Winner
NJ-05 House Election Winner
$25,800 Vol.
$25,800 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$25,800 Vol.
$25,800 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$18,948 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$6,853 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in New Jersey's 5th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+2 partisan voter index. Gottheimer's moderate profile, large cash reserves exceeding $12 million, and unopposed June primary have limited any meaningful Republican challenge from nominee Sean Kirrane, who trails sharply in fundraising. All rating outlets have held the district in the Democratic column since mid-2025, reflecting consistent local dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or major national shifts could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$25,800Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in New Jersey's 5th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+2 partisan voter index. Gottheimer's moderate profile, large cash reserves exceeding $12 million, and unopposed June primary have limited any meaningful Republican challenge from nominee Sean Kirrane, who trails sharply in fundraising. All rating outlets have held the district in the Democratic column since mid-2025, reflecting consistent local dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or major national shifts could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,800Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in New Jersey's 5th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+2 partisan voter index. Gottheimer's moderate profile, large cash reserves exceeding $12 million, and unopposed June primary have limited any meaningful Republican challenge from nominee Sean Kirrane, who trails sharply in fundraising. All rating outlets have held the district in the Democratic column since mid-2025, reflecting consistent local dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or major national shifts could still influence the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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