Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAfD 15-20% 51%
AfD 20-25% 36%
AfD 25%+ 28%
AfD 10-15% 17%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
AfD 25%+
28%
AfD 20-25%
41%
AfD 15-20%
40%
AfD 10-15%
17%
AfD <10%
2%
Outro
1%
AfD 15-20% 51%
AfD 20-25% 36%
AfD 25%+ 28%
AfD 10-15% 17%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
AfD 25%+
$59 Vol.
28%
AfD 20-25%
$225 Vol.
41%
AfD 15-20%
$295 Vol.
40%
AfD 10-15%
$251 Vol.
17%
AfD <10%
$59 Vol.
2%
Outro
$507 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,396Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$1,396Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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