Recent polling shows the AfD holding a steady lead at around 36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 29 percent and smaller parties below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning supports projected seat totals clustered in the mid-to-high 20s under proportional allocation of the 71 seats, with trader consensus spread across the 24–35 seat range reflecting modest shifts in vote share, turnout patterns, and minor-party performance. The absence of viable coalitions for the AfD due to the established firewall among other parties keeps outcomes focused on plurality strength rather than governing majorities. Late-campaign events, candidate positioning by Leif-Erik Holm, and any movement in SPD support under Manuela Schwesig could narrow or widen these ranges before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado28-31 32%
24-27 28%
32-35 27%
20-23 26%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
<20
22%
20-23
26%
24-27
28%
28-31
32%
32-35
27%
36+
5%
28-31 32%
24-27 28%
32-35 27%
20-23 26%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
<20
$30 Vol.
22%
20-23
$0 Vol.
26%
24-27
$0 Vol.
28%
28-31
$100 Vol.
32%
32-35
$0 Vol.
27%
36+
$161 Vol.
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling shows the AfD holding a steady lead at around 36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 29 percent and smaller parties below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning supports projected seat totals clustered in the mid-to-high 20s under proportional allocation of the 71 seats, with trader consensus spread across the 24–35 seat range reflecting modest shifts in vote share, turnout patterns, and minor-party performance. The absence of viable coalitions for the AfD due to the established firewall among other parties keeps outcomes focused on plurality strength rather than governing majorities. Late-campaign events, candidate positioning by Leif-Erik Holm, and any movement in SPD support under Manuela Schwesig could narrow or widen these ranges before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volume
$291Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling shows the AfD holding a steady lead at around 36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 29 percent and smaller parties below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning supports projected seat totals clustered in the mid-to-high 20s under proportional allocation of the 71 seats, with trader consensus spread across the 24–35 seat range reflecting modest shifts in vote share, turnout patterns, and minor-party performance. The absence of viable coalitions for the AfD due to the established firewall among other parties keeps outcomes focused on plurality strength rather than governing majorities. Late-campaign events, candidate positioning by Leif-Erik Holm, and any movement in SPD support under Manuela Schwesig could narrow or widen these ranges before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$291Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the AfD holding a steady lead at around 36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 29 percent and smaller parties below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning supports projected seat totals clustered in the mid-to-high 20s under proportional allocation of the 71 seats, with trader consensus spread across the 24–35 seat range reflecting modest shifts in vote share, turnout patterns, and minor-party performance. The absence of viable coalitions for the AfD due to the established firewall among other parties keeps outcomes focused on plurality strength rather than governing majorities. Late-campaign events, candidate positioning by Leif-Erik Holm, and any movement in SPD support under Manuela Schwesig could narrow or widen these ranges before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Frequently Asked Questions