Michigan's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Oakland County suburbs, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus around a strong general election outcome for the party. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary after serving as a state senator and speaker pro tem, while Ethan Baker, mayor of Troy, emerged as the Republican nominee. The absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced market positioning, with traders viewing the seat as a low-risk hold for Democrats. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include late-cycle national political swings, significant fundraising disparities, or unexpected candidate controversies within the roughly three-month window before November voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MI-11
Vencedor da eleição da casa MI-11
$76,292 Vol.
$76,292 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
3%
$76,292 Vol.
$76,292 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$54,270 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$22,022 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Oakland County suburbs, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus around a strong general election outcome for the party. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary after serving as a state senator and speaker pro tem, while Ethan Baker, mayor of Troy, emerged as the Republican nominee. The absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced market positioning, with traders viewing the seat as a low-risk hold for Democrats. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include late-cycle national political swings, significant fundraising disparities, or unexpected candidate controversies within the roughly three-month window before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$76,292Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Oakland County suburbs, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus around a strong general election outcome for the party. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary after serving as a state senator and speaker pro tem, while Ethan Baker, mayor of Troy, emerged as the Republican nominee. The absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced market positioning, with traders viewing the seat as a low-risk hold for Democrats. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include late-cycle national political swings, significant fundraising disparities, or unexpected candidate controversies within the roughly three-month window before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$76,292Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Oakland County suburbs, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus around a strong general election outcome for the party. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary after serving as a state senator and speaker pro tem, while Ethan Baker, mayor of Troy, emerged as the Republican nominee. The absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries has reinforced market positioning, with traders viewing the seat as a low-risk hold for Democrats. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include late-cycle national political swings, significant fundraising disparities, or unexpected candidate controversies within the roughly three-month window before November voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions