**Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate an overnight low near 23°C for Wuhan on September 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northerly winds.** This setup favors radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–33°C, though modest humidity (45–55%) and limited cloud cover limit further drops. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 22–24°C, with low precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for extremes (18°C or below and 28°C or higher) reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute model shifts ahead of resolution. Final observational data from official stations will determine the exact minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 14 de setembro?
18°C ou menos 89%
28°C ou mais 89%
21°C 40%
25°C 39%
18°C ou menos
89%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
8%
28°C ou mais
89%
18°C ou menos 89%
28°C ou mais 89%
21°C 40%
25°C 39%
18°C ou menos
89%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
8%
28°C ou mais
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate an overnight low near 23°C for Wuhan on September 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northerly winds.** This setup favors radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30–33°C, though modest humidity (45–55%) and limited cloud cover limit further drops. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 22–24°C, with low precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for extremes (18°C or below and 28°C or higher) reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute model shifts ahead of resolution. Final observational data from official stations will determine the exact minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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