Traders see the 19°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability due to overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity, which typically allow Wuhan temperatures to drop several degrees below daytime highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum around 23–24°C, yet uncertainty in exact station measurements, urban heat island moderation, and minor forecast adjustments keeps the 15°C-or-below bin competitive at 45.5%. Historical September lows average near 22°C early in the month, with any unexpected cloud increase or wind shift able to limit the drop and shift odds toward 18°C or higher bins. Updated overnight observations and final China Meteorological Administration data will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 13 de setembro?
15°C ou menos 91%
18°C 91%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
15°C ou menos
91%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
91%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
15°C ou menos 91%
18°C 91%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
91%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$34 Vol.
91%
19°C
$317 Vol.
-
20°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 19°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability due to overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity, which typically allow Wuhan temperatures to drop several degrees below daytime highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum around 23–24°C, yet uncertainty in exact station measurements, urban heat island moderation, and minor forecast adjustments keeps the 15°C-or-below bin competitive at 45.5%. Historical September lows average near 22°C early in the month, with any unexpected cloud increase or wind shift able to limit the drop and shift odds toward 18°C or higher bins. Updated overnight observations and final China Meteorological Administration data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,229Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 19°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability due to overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity, which typically allow Wuhan temperatures to drop several degrees below daytime highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum around 23–24°C, yet uncertainty in exact station measurements, urban heat island moderation, and minor forecast adjustments keeps the 15°C-or-below bin competitive at 45.5%. Historical September lows average near 22°C early in the month, with any unexpected cloud increase or wind shift able to limit the drop and shift odds toward 18°C or higher bins. Updated overnight observations and final China Meteorological Administration data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,229Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 19°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability due to overnight radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity, which typically allow Wuhan temperatures to drop several degrees below daytime highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum around 23–24°C, yet uncertainty in exact station measurements, urban heat island moderation, and minor forecast adjustments keeps the 15°C-or-below bin competitive at 45.5%. Historical September lows average near 22°C early in the month, with any unexpected cloud increase or wind shift able to limit the drop and shift odds toward 18°C or higher bins. Updated overnight observations and final China Meteorological Administration data will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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