Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtropical monsoon conditions and recent thunderstorm activity have narrowed the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier historical September averages near 24°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to outcomes near 24–27°C versus extremes because small shifts in cloud timing or localized rainfall could alter surface heat retention by 2–3°C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations through the evening of September 13 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 14 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 59%
22°C 38%
23°C 36%
31°C ou mais 30%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
21°C ou menos
59%
22°C
38%
23°C
36%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C ou mais
30%
21°C ou menos 59%
22°C 38%
23°C 36%
31°C ou mais 30%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
59%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$38 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtropical monsoon conditions and recent thunderstorm activity have narrowed the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier historical September averages near 24°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to outcomes near 24–27°C versus extremes because small shifts in cloud timing or localized rainfall could alter surface heat retention by 2–3°C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations through the evening of September 13 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$38Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtropical monsoon conditions and recent thunderstorm activity have narrowed the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier historical September averages near 24°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to outcomes near 24–27°C versus extremes because small shifts in cloud timing or localized rainfall could alter surface heat retention by 2–3°C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations through the evening of September 13 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtropical monsoon conditions and recent thunderstorm activity have narrowed the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier historical September averages near 24°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to outcomes near 24–27°C versus extremes because small shifts in cloud timing or localized rainfall could alter surface heat retention by 2–3°C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations through the evening of September 13 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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