Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high near 31–32°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and a 50–70% chance of scattered thunderstorms, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Afternoon convection driven by high moisture and weak steering flow can limit surface heating by reducing insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed storm development allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Subtropical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses often preventing exceedance of that threshold. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest spread in timing of peak temperatures and precipitation coverage, sustaining uncertainty between the leading bins ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 14 de setembro?
31°C 34%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
25%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
2%
31°C 34%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$223 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$136 Vol.
4%
29°C
$188 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2,375 Vol.
22%
31°C
$1,497 Vol.
34%
32°C
$823 Vol.
25%
33°C
$268 Vol.
9%
34°C
$275 Vol.
2%
35°C ou mais
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high near 31–32°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and a 50–70% chance of scattered thunderstorms, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Afternoon convection driven by high moisture and weak steering flow can limit surface heating by reducing insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed storm development allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Subtropical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses often preventing exceedance of that threshold. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest spread in timing of peak temperatures and precipitation coverage, sustaining uncertainty between the leading bins ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,361Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high near 31–32°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and a 50–70% chance of scattered thunderstorms, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Afternoon convection driven by high moisture and weak steering flow can limit surface heating by reducing insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed storm development allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Subtropical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses often preventing exceedance of that threshold. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest spread in timing of peak temperatures and precipitation coverage, sustaining uncertainty between the leading bins ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,361Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high near 31–32°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and a 50–70% chance of scattered thunderstorms, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Afternoon convection driven by high moisture and weak steering flow can limit surface heating by reducing insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed storm development allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Subtropical September climatology shows typical maxima around 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses often preventing exceedance of that threshold. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest spread in timing of peak temperatures and precipitation coverage, sustaining uncertainty between the leading bins ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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