Shanghai's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and subtropical conditions, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models converging on a minimum near 26°C for August 18. This alignment with climatological baselines and recent observational trends underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. Minor deviations remain possible due to localized urban heat effects, precise station measurements, or short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, though such shifts would require atypical atmospheric steering patterns not currently indicated.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 18 de agosto?
26°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOVO
$16,871 Vol.
NOVO
$16,871 Vol.
18 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOVO
$16,871 Vol.
NOVO
$16,871 Vol.
18 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$462 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,883 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,577 Vol.
100%
27°C
$4,660 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$326 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and subtropical conditions, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models converging on a minimum near 26°C for August 18. This alignment with climatological baselines and recent observational trends underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. Minor deviations remain possible due to localized urban heat effects, precise station measurements, or short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, though such shifts would require atypical atmospheric steering patterns not currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$16,871Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and subtropical conditions, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models converging on a minimum near 26°C for August 18. This alignment with climatological baselines and recent observational trends underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. Minor deviations remain possible due to localized urban heat effects, precise station measurements, or short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, though such shifts would require atypical atmospheric steering patterns not currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,871Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and subtropical conditions, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models converging on a minimum near 26°C for August 18. This alignment with climatological baselines and recent observational trends underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. Minor deviations remain possible due to localized urban heat effects, precise station measurements, or short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, though such shifts would require atypical atmospheric steering patterns not currently indicated.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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