Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 19 will settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 80%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports these levels, with historical overnight minima averaging 25–26°C, while current runs show minimal day-to-day variability and only isolated showers unlikely to alter temperatures significantly. Trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for 27°C and 32.5% for 26°C aligns with this stable pattern; any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or model revision before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 19 de agosto?
27°C 61%
26°C 32%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
32%
27°C
61%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 61%
26°C 32%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$535 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
5%
26°C
$706 Vol.
32%
27°C
$752 Vol.
61%
28°C
$237 Vol.
6%
29°C
$276 Vol.
2%
30°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 19 will settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 80%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports these levels, with historical overnight minima averaging 25–26°C, while current runs show minimal day-to-day variability and only isolated showers unlikely to alter temperatures significantly. Trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for 27°C and 32.5% for 26°C aligns with this stable pattern; any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or model revision before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,184Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 19 will settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 80%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports these levels, with historical overnight minima averaging 25–26°C, while current runs show minimal day-to-day variability and only isolated showers unlikely to alter temperatures significantly. Trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for 27°C and 32.5% for 26°C aligns with this stable pattern; any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or model revision before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,184Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 19 will settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 80%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports these levels, with historical overnight minima averaging 25–26°C, while current runs show minimal day-to-day variability and only isolated showers unlikely to alter temperatures significantly. Trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for 27°C and 32.5% for 26°C aligns with this stable pattern; any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or model revision before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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