Latest forecast models from GFS and related ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 13–14 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Paris basin, where calm conditions and dew-point depression typically produce lows in that range. Traders appear to weigh model consensus favoring 13 °C against small uncertainties in exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shifts that could limit cooling to 12 °C or allow a slightly warmer 15 °C floor. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 6 de setembro?
12°C 42%
13°C 32%
15°C 23%
11°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
10°C ou menos
2%
11°C
19%
12°C
35%
13°C
41%
14°C
22%
15°C
23%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C ou mais
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 32%
15°C 23%
11°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$575 Vol.
35%
13°C
$219 Vol.
41%
14°C
$232 Vol.
22%
15°C
$21 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C ou mais
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from GFS and related ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 13–14 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Paris basin, where calm conditions and dew-point depression typically produce lows in that range. Traders appear to weigh model consensus favoring 13 °C against small uncertainties in exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shifts that could limit cooling to 12 °C or allow a slightly warmer 15 °C floor. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,064Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from GFS and related ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 13–14 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Paris basin, where calm conditions and dew-point depression typically produce lows in that range. Traders appear to weigh model consensus favoring 13 °C against small uncertainties in exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shifts that could limit cooling to 12 °C or allow a slightly warmer 15 °C floor. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,064Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from GFS and related ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 13–14 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure that favors radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Paris basin, where calm conditions and dew-point depression typically produce lows in that range. Traders appear to weigh model consensus favoring 13 °C against small uncertainties in exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shifts that could limit cooling to 12 °C or allow a slightly warmer 15 °C floor. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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