Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 18 will settle in the 18–20°C range under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup follows a mid-month cooldown after earlier heat, with daytime maxima projected near 27–30°C and dew points supporting mild, muggy conditions that moderate the diurnal temperature swing. Historical August minimums average 15–18°C, but recent model consensus and surface observations favor slightly warmer nights, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 18–20°C outcomes. Traders are monitoring final evening updates and any shifts in cloud cover or wind before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 18 de agosto?
19°C 70%
18°C 9%
16°C 4%
17°C 3%
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
50%
20°C
34%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 70%
18°C 9%
16°C 4%
17°C 3%
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
50%
20°C
34%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 18 will settle in the 18–20°C range under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup follows a mid-month cooldown after earlier heat, with daytime maxima projected near 27–30°C and dew points supporting mild, muggy conditions that moderate the diurnal temperature swing. Historical August minimums average 15–18°C, but recent model consensus and surface observations favor slightly warmer nights, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 18–20°C outcomes. Traders are monitoring final evening updates and any shifts in cloud cover or wind before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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