Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Istanbul on August 31, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and clear skies that promote overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Late-summer seasonal decline from peak July warmth, combined with moderate humidity and light winds around 3–7 m/s, limits further drops while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper cooling. Historical August lows average near 20°C, providing a stable baseline, yet small differences in ensemble runs—particularly regarding cloud cover timing or wind speed—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 20°C and 23°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul em 31 de agosto?
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
$140 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$140 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Istanbul on August 31, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and clear skies that promote overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Late-summer seasonal decline from peak July warmth, combined with moderate humidity and light winds around 3–7 m/s, limits further drops while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper cooling. Historical August lows average near 20°C, providing a stable baseline, yet small differences in ensemble runs—particularly regarding cloud cover timing or wind speed—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 20°C and 23°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$285Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Istanbul on August 31, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and clear skies that promote overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Late-summer seasonal decline from peak July warmth, combined with moderate humidity and light winds around 3–7 m/s, limits further drops while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper cooling. Historical August lows average near 20°C, providing a stable baseline, yet small differences in ensemble runs—particularly regarding cloud cover timing or wind speed—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 20°C and 23°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$285Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 20–22°C in Istanbul on August 31, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and clear skies that promote overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Late-summer seasonal decline from peak July warmth, combined with moderate humidity and light winds around 3–7 m/s, limits further drops while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper cooling. Historical August lows average near 20°C, providing a stable baseline, yet small differences in ensemble runs—particularly regarding cloud cover timing or wind speed—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 20°C and 23°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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