Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European agencies converge on an overnight minimum near 20–22°C for Istanbul on August 30, driven by northerly winds advecting drier air, light cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 18–20°C moderating temperature drops. These conditions produce the closely matched market odds between 20°C and 22°C, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat island effects at official stations can shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, the primary uncertainty lies in precise timing of the minimum and station-specific observations rather than broader synoptic changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 30 de agosto?
21°C 44%
20°C 36%
18°C 15%
19°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
9%
20°C
36%
21°C
44%
22°C
47%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 44%
20°C 36%
18°C 15%
19°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$421 Vol.
1%
18°C
$27 Vol.
15%
19°C
$8 Vol.
9%
20°C
$62 Vol.
36%
21°C
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$40 Vol.
47%
23°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$66 Vol.
1%
25°C
$34 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$540 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European agencies converge on an overnight minimum near 20–22°C for Istanbul on August 30, driven by northerly winds advecting drier air, light cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 18–20°C moderating temperature drops. These conditions produce the closely matched market odds between 20°C and 22°C, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat island effects at official stations can shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, the primary uncertainty lies in precise timing of the minimum and station-specific observations rather than broader synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,601Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European agencies converge on an overnight minimum near 20–22°C for Istanbul on August 30, driven by northerly winds advecting drier air, light cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 18–20°C moderating temperature drops. These conditions produce the closely matched market odds between 20°C and 22°C, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat island effects at official stations can shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, the primary uncertainty lies in precise timing of the minimum and station-specific observations rather than broader synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,601Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European agencies converge on an overnight minimum near 20–22°C for Istanbul on August 30, driven by northerly winds advecting drier air, light cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 18–20°C moderating temperature drops. These conditions produce the closely matched market odds between 20°C and 22°C, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat island effects at official stations can shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, the primary uncertainty lies in precise timing of the minimum and station-specific observations rather than broader synoptic changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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