**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 project a minimum of 26°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers and light winds, establishing the baseline for trader expectations.** High humidity levels near 65–90% and persistent cloud cover will limit overnight radiative cooling, while recent regional observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 24–27°C amid a broad cloud band over southern China. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns closely on this range, with the northeast monsoon not yet strengthening enough to alter the pattern. The market’s slight edge toward 27°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized variations, but the HKO’s 26–31°C outlook remains the dominant driver of implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 6 de setembro?
27°C 46%
26°C 29%
25°C 9%
28°C 8%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
29%
27°C
46%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 46%
26°C 29%
25°C 9%
28°C 8%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
29%
27°C
46%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 project a minimum of 26°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers and light winds, establishing the baseline for trader expectations.** High humidity levels near 65–90% and persistent cloud cover will limit overnight radiative cooling, while recent regional observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 24–27°C amid a broad cloud band over southern China. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns closely on this range, with the northeast monsoon not yet strengthening enough to alter the pattern. The market’s slight edge toward 27°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized variations, but the HKO’s 26–31°C outlook remains the dominant driver of implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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