Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 14 in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–95% overnight, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minima near 24–25°C reflect the lingering influence of the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 25–27°C, incorporates model spread and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Hong Kong Observatory final readings will determine resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear skies potentially altering the exact minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de setembro?
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 22%
24°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
33%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
1%
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 22%
24°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$4 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$342 Vol.
2%
24°C
$47 Vol.
11%
25°C
$333 Vol.
22%
26°C
$381 Vol.
35%
27°C
$635 Vol.
33%
28°C
$69 Vol.
9%
29°C
$4 Vol.
1%
30°C
$506 Vol.
1%
31°C ou mais
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 14 in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–95% overnight, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minima near 24–25°C reflect the lingering influence of the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 25–27°C, incorporates model spread and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Hong Kong Observatory final readings will determine resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear skies potentially altering the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,365Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 14 in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–95% overnight, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minima near 24–25°C reflect the lingering influence of the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 25–27°C, incorporates model spread and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Hong Kong Observatory final readings will determine resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear skies potentially altering the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,365Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 14 in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–95% overnight, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minima near 24–25°C reflect the lingering influence of the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 25–27°C, incorporates model spread and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Hong Kong Observatory final readings will determine resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear skies potentially altering the exact minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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