**Stable atmospheric conditions under a northeast monsoon flow over southern China have produced consistent overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Hong Kong on September 12, 2026.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model consensus pointed to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points supporting this level, aligning closely with the 99.3% market-implied probability for 27°C as the daily low. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima in the mid-20s°C range, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger cold-air advection have kept readings from dropping further. The final HKO daily extract, which records the absolute daily minimum, is expected to confirm the outcome with high reliability given the narrow uncertainty in recent observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de setembro?
27°C 98.8%
26°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
32°C ou mais <1%
$107,793 Vol.
$107,793 Vol.
12 set 2026
22°C ou inferior
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
27°C 98.8%
26°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
32°C ou mais <1%
$107,793 Vol.
$107,793 Vol.
12 set 2026
22°C ou inferior
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,259 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,967 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,317 Vol.
1%
27°C
$6,353 Vol.
99%
28°C
$85,998 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$76 Vol.
1%
32°C ou mais
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Stable atmospheric conditions under a northeast monsoon flow over southern China have produced consistent overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Hong Kong on September 12, 2026.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model consensus pointed to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points supporting this level, aligning closely with the 99.3% market-implied probability for 27°C as the daily low. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima in the mid-20s°C range, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger cold-air advection have kept readings from dropping further. The final HKO daily extract, which records the absolute daily minimum, is expected to confirm the outcome with high reliability given the narrow uncertainty in recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$107,793Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Stable atmospheric conditions under a northeast monsoon flow over southern China have produced consistent overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Hong Kong on September 12, 2026.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model consensus pointed to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points supporting this level, aligning closely with the 99.3% market-implied probability for 27°C as the daily low. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima in the mid-20s°C range, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger cold-air advection have kept readings from dropping further. The final HKO daily extract, which records the absolute daily minimum, is expected to confirm the outcome with high reliability given the narrow uncertainty in recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$107,793Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable atmospheric conditions under a northeast monsoon flow over southern China have produced consistent overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C in Hong Kong on September 12, 2026.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model consensus pointed to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and dew points supporting this level, aligning closely with the 99.3% market-implied probability for 27°C as the daily low. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima in the mid-20s°C range, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger cold-air advection have kept readings from dropping further. The final HKO daily extract, which records the absolute daily minimum, is expected to confirm the outcome with high reliability given the narrow uncertainty in recent observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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