Clear skies and light southerly winds are expected to promote moderate radiative cooling overnight into August 31, supporting trader focus on an 8–10°C minimum under high-pressure dominance. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate, the absence of cloud cover and frontal systems allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, while dry air and weak winds limit mixing that would otherwise moderate the low. Recent model runs show consistency in daytime highs near 16–18°C but slight divergence on the precise overnight minimum depending on wind speed and any residual moisture. This uncertainty keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 8–10°C, consistent with typical late-August variability where radiative cooling can produce readings 2–4°C below seasonal averages when conditions align.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 31 de agosto?
8°C 31%
9°C 31%
10°C 28%
6°C 25%
5°C or below
9%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
31%
9°C
31%
10°C
28%
11°C
24%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
1%
8°C 31%
9°C 31%
10°C 28%
6°C 25%
5°C or below
9%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
31%
9°C
31%
10°C
28%
11°C
24%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light southerly winds are expected to promote moderate radiative cooling overnight into August 31, supporting trader focus on an 8–10°C minimum under high-pressure dominance. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate, the absence of cloud cover and frontal systems allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, while dry air and weak winds limit mixing that would otherwise moderate the low. Recent model runs show consistency in daytime highs near 16–18°C but slight divergence on the precise overnight minimum depending on wind speed and any residual moisture. This uncertainty keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 8–10°C, consistent with typical late-August variability where radiative cooling can produce readings 2–4°C below seasonal averages when conditions align.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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