Forecast models from multiple agencies, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 13. This aligns with the city's continental climate, where September lows typically average near 13–14°C amid post-summer cooling, and current observations show morning readings already near 16–19°C with dew points favoring further nocturnal drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the ≤12°C outcome reflects this model agreement and historical precedent for similar conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected warm-air advection could raise the minimum above the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 13 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
12°C ou menos
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
12°C ou menos 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$547 Vol.
100%
13°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 13. This aligns with the city's continental climate, where September lows typically average near 13–14°C amid post-summer cooling, and current observations show morning readings already near 16–19°C with dew points favoring further nocturnal drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the ≤12°C outcome reflects this model agreement and historical precedent for similar conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected warm-air advection could raise the minimum above the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,523Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 13. This aligns with the city's continental climate, where September lows typically average near 13–14°C amid post-summer cooling, and current observations show morning readings already near 16–19°C with dew points favoring further nocturnal drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the ≤12°C outcome reflects this model agreement and historical precedent for similar conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected warm-air advection could raise the minimum above the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,523Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 13. This aligns with the city's continental climate, where September lows typically average near 13–14°C amid post-summer cooling, and current observations show morning readings already near 16–19°C with dew points favoring further nocturnal drops. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the ≤12°C outcome reflects this model agreement and historical precedent for similar conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected warm-air advection could raise the minimum above the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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