Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Turkish meteorological services, indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity around 15-25%. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions promoting strong daytime heating, with afternoon observations already approaching 31-32°C and no significant model divergence or incoming moisture to suppress maxima. Historical September baselines near 27°C underscore the day's above-average warmth, while the tight clustering around 32-33°C in trader-implied odds tracks the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance ahead of final station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 13 de setembro?
33°C 82%
32°C 15%
34°C 1.8%
31°C 1.3%
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
15%
33°C
82%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 82%
32°C 15%
34°C 1.8%
31°C 1.3%
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
15%
33°C
82%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Turkish meteorological services, indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity around 15-25%. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions promoting strong daytime heating, with afternoon observations already approaching 31-32°C and no significant model divergence or incoming moisture to suppress maxima. Historical September baselines near 27°C underscore the day's above-average warmth, while the tight clustering around 32-33°C in trader-implied odds tracks the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance ahead of final station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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