Illinois's 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Chicago's West Side and downtown areas along with nearby suburbs, has long been a Democratic stronghold with consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Following longtime incumbent Danny Davis's retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee against a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome meaningfully, though historical patterns show few precedents for such shifts in this seat.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-07 Vencedor da eleição da casa
IL-07 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$26,189 Vol.
$26,189 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
97%
Partido Republicano
1%
$26,189 Vol.
$26,189 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$12,012 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$14,177 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Chicago's West Side and downtown areas along with nearby suburbs, has long been a Democratic stronghold with consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Following longtime incumbent Danny Davis's retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee against a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome meaningfully, though historical patterns show few precedents for such shifts in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,189Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Chicago's West Side and downtown areas along with nearby suburbs, has long been a Democratic stronghold with consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Following longtime incumbent Danny Davis's retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee against a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome meaningfully, though historical patterns show few precedents for such shifts in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,189Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Chicago's West Side and downtown areas along with nearby suburbs, has long been a Democratic stronghold with consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Following longtime incumbent Danny Davis's retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee against a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome meaningfully, though historical patterns show few precedents for such shifts in this seat.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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