Official temperature measurements from Warsaw meteorological stations have established a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome. With August 30 nearing its end in the local time zone, no further warming is possible, and forecaster consensus from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management aligns with observed highs under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical August averages for the city hover near 24–25°C, making this reading consistent yet definitive. Only an extraordinary late-day spike or data revision from primary stations could alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given current observational stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 30 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,001 Vol.
$19,001 Vol.
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,001 Vol.
$19,001 Vol.
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,488 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,813 Vol.
100%
27°C
$4,781 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,873 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,125 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Warsaw meteorological stations have established a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome. With August 30 nearing its end in the local time zone, no further warming is possible, and forecaster consensus from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management aligns with observed highs under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical August averages for the city hover near 24–25°C, making this reading consistent yet definitive. Only an extraordinary late-day spike or data revision from primary stations could alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given current observational stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$19,001Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Warsaw meteorological stations have established a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome. With August 30 nearing its end in the local time zone, no further warming is possible, and forecaster consensus from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management aligns with observed highs under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical August averages for the city hover near 24–25°C, making this reading consistent yet definitive. Only an extraordinary late-day spike or data revision from primary stations could alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given current observational stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,001Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature measurements from Warsaw meteorological stations have established a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome. With August 30 nearing its end in the local time zone, no further warming is possible, and forecaster consensus from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management aligns with observed highs under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical August averages for the city hover near 24–25°C, making this reading consistent yet definitive. Only an extraordinary late-day spike or data revision from primary stations could alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given current observational stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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