**Forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI-supported models has locked in a daily maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** Multiple runs show afternoon readings stabilizing around 20–21°C after morning lows near 18–19°C, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C and recent observational trends. This produces the market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 21°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, rapid clearing that allows additional solar heating, or localized wind shifts that alter boundary-layer mixing—though current ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the 21°C outcome through the end of the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 30 de agosto?
21°C 97%
22°C 3%
23°C <1%
16°C ou menos <1%
$36,304 Vol.
$36,304 Vol.
30 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
97%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 97%
22°C 3%
23°C <1%
16°C ou menos <1%
$36,304 Vol.
$36,304 Vol.
30 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
$1,177 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$952 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,352 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,965 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,627 Vol.
97%
22°C
$7,739 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5,102 Vol.
1%
24°C
$760 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI-supported models has locked in a daily maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** Multiple runs show afternoon readings stabilizing around 20–21°C after morning lows near 18–19°C, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C and recent observational trends. This produces the market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 21°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, rapid clearing that allows additional solar heating, or localized wind shifts that alter boundary-layer mixing—though current ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the 21°C outcome through the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$36,304Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI-supported models has locked in a daily maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** Multiple runs show afternoon readings stabilizing around 20–21°C after morning lows near 18–19°C, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C and recent observational trends. This produces the market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 21°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, rapid clearing that allows additional solar heating, or localized wind shifts that alter boundary-layer mixing—though current ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the 21°C outcome through the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,304Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI-supported models has locked in a daily maximum near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** Multiple runs show afternoon readings stabilizing around 20–21°C after morning lows near 18–19°C, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C and recent observational trends. This produces the market’s overwhelming 96% implied probability for 21°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, rapid clearing that allows additional solar heating, or localized wind shifts that alter boundary-layer mixing—though current ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the 21°C outcome through the end of the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions