Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a Warsaw high of 20–22 °C on August 19, driven by increasing cloud cover, thundery showers, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from earlier monthly peaks near 25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest disagreement mainly on shower timing and intensity. Recent surface observations of 16–17 °C under overcast skies and rising humidity further support capped temperatures near the 21 °C mode, though clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 22 °C. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread and historical August variability in steering patterns when assigning the highest probabilities to the 20–22 °C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 19 de agosto?
21°C 45%
20°C 27%
22°C 20%
19°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
27%
21°C
45%
22°C
20%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 45%
20°C 27%
22°C 20%
19°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
14°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$406 Vol.
2%
19°C
$739 Vol.
6%
20°C
$539 Vol.
27%
21°C
$515 Vol.
45%
22°C
$1,476 Vol.
20%
23°C
$298 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$191 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a Warsaw high of 20–22 °C on August 19, driven by increasing cloud cover, thundery showers, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from earlier monthly peaks near 25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest disagreement mainly on shower timing and intensity. Recent surface observations of 16–17 °C under overcast skies and rising humidity further support capped temperatures near the 21 °C mode, though clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 22 °C. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread and historical August variability in steering patterns when assigning the highest probabilities to the 20–22 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,202Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a Warsaw high of 20–22 °C on August 19, driven by increasing cloud cover, thundery showers, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from earlier monthly peaks near 25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest disagreement mainly on shower timing and intensity. Recent surface observations of 16–17 °C under overcast skies and rising humidity further support capped temperatures near the 21 °C mode, though clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 22 °C. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread and historical August variability in steering patterns when assigning the highest probabilities to the 20–22 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,202Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a Warsaw high of 20–22 °C on August 19, driven by increasing cloud cover, thundery showers, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from earlier monthly peaks near 25 °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest disagreement mainly on shower timing and intensity. Recent surface observations of 16–17 °C under overcast skies and rising humidity further support capped temperatures near the 21 °C mode, though clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 22 °C. Traders appear to weight the narrow forecast spread and historical August variability in steering patterns when assigning the highest probabilities to the 20–22 °C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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