Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 4 de setembro?
31°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 Vol.
$43,432 Vol.
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
31°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 Vol.
$43,432 Vol.
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$4,509 Vol.
Não
24°C
$4,853 Vol.
Não
25°C
$1,617 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,007 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,263 Vol.
Não
28°C
$2,246 Vol.
Não
29°C
$3,373 Vol.
Não
30°C
$6,289 Vol.
Não
31°C
$5,035 Vol.
Sim
32°C
$5,234 Vol.
Não
33°C ou mais
$8,005 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$43,432Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,432Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions