**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a daily maximum of 91°F at Miami International Airport on September 4, 2026, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on the 90-91°F outcome.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average highs near 90°F are common amid high humidity and light steering winds, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements showed no significant deviation from that range. The near-certain trader consensus reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare station-specific discrepancies or reanalysis adjustments, though historical records indicate such revisions rarely alter the daily high by more than 1°F once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami no dia 4 de setembro?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F ou menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$45,268 Vol.
$45,268 Vol.
4 set 2026
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
30°C - 30,5°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F ou menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$45,268 Vol.
$45,268 Vol.
4 set 2026
79°F ou menos
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$434 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,160 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,639 Vol.
<1%
30°C - 30,5°C
$5,324 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$7,338 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$12,733 Vol.
100%
92-93°F
$6,958 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$5,382 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$662 Vol.
<1%
98°F ou mais
$187 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a daily maximum of 91°F at Miami International Airport on September 4, 2026, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on the 90-91°F outcome.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average highs near 90°F are common amid high humidity and light steering winds, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements showed no significant deviation from that range. The near-certain trader consensus reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare station-specific discrepancies or reanalysis adjustments, though historical records indicate such revisions rarely alter the daily high by more than 1°F once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$45,268Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a daily maximum of 91°F at Miami International Airport on September 4, 2026, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on the 90-91°F outcome.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average highs near 90°F are common amid high humidity and light steering winds, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements showed no significant deviation from that range. The near-certain trader consensus reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare station-specific discrepancies or reanalysis adjustments, though historical records indicate such revisions rarely alter the daily high by more than 1°F once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,268Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a daily maximum of 91°F at Miami International Airport on September 4, 2026, directly supporting the market's 100% implied probability on the 90-91°F outcome.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average highs near 90°F are common amid high humidity and light steering winds, and recent model guidance plus on-site measurements showed no significant deviation from that range. The near-certain trader consensus reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare station-specific discrepancies or reanalysis adjustments, though historical records indicate such revisions rarely alter the daily high by more than 1°F once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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