Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models points to a maximum of 9–10°C in Buenos Aires on September 6 under mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds, reflecting a cool air mass advected from higher latitudes. This aligns with early-spring climatology where September highs average near 19°C but current high-pressure ridging and clear conditions favor suppressed readings. Model agreement on light winds and minimal cloud cover reduces upside risk, though minor diurnal variations or station-specific measurements could nudge the official high toward 11°C. Traders appear to weigh this near-term stability against typical forecast uncertainty in transitional seasons, concentrating implied probability on the 10–11°C range ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 6 de setembro?
11°C 52%
10°C 27%
12°C 12%
9°C 7%
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
7%
10°C
27%
11°C
52%
12°C
12%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C ou mais
<1%
11°C 52%
10°C 27%
12°C 12%
9°C 7%
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
7%
10°C
27%
11°C
52%
12°C
12%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models points to a maximum of 9–10°C in Buenos Aires on September 6 under mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds, reflecting a cool air mass advected from higher latitudes. This aligns with early-spring climatology where September highs average near 19°C but current high-pressure ridging and clear conditions favor suppressed readings. Model agreement on light winds and minimal cloud cover reduces upside risk, though minor diurnal variations or station-specific measurements could nudge the official high toward 11°C. Traders appear to weigh this near-term stability against typical forecast uncertainty in transitional seasons, concentrating implied probability on the 10–11°C range ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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