Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation that supports a daily maximum near 27–28 °C in Milan on September 14. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized heating in the Po Valley, keeping the 28 °C and 29 °C bins as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing. No frontal passages or significant cloud cover are expected before evening, and recent model updates have shown little change over the past 24 hours. This late-summer warmth exceeds the long-term September average maximum by several degrees, reinforcing market-implied odds around the upper 20s while capping the chance of 30 °C or higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 14 de setembro?
29°C 67%
28°C 25%
30°C 9%
27°C 3%
NOVO
$11,492 Vol.
NOVO
$11,492 Vol.
14 set 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
25%
29°C
67%
30°C
9%
31°C ou mais
1%
29°C 67%
28°C 25%
30°C 9%
27°C 3%
NOVO
$11,492 Vol.
NOVO
$11,492 Vol.
14 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$253 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$541 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$262 Vol.
1%
27°C
$417 Vol.
3%
28°C
$3,377 Vol.
25%
29°C
$1,770 Vol.
67%
30°C
$2,679 Vol.
9%
31°C ou mais
$394 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation that supports a daily maximum near 27–28 °C in Milan on September 14. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized heating in the Po Valley, keeping the 28 °C and 29 °C bins as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing. No frontal passages or significant cloud cover are expected before evening, and recent model updates have shown little change over the past 24 hours. This late-summer warmth exceeds the long-term September average maximum by several degrees, reinforcing market-implied odds around the upper 20s while capping the chance of 30 °C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,492Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation that supports a daily maximum near 27–28 °C in Milan on September 14. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized heating in the Po Valley, keeping the 28 °C and 29 °C bins as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing. No frontal passages or significant cloud cover are expected before evening, and recent model updates have shown little change over the past 24 hours. This late-summer warmth exceeds the long-term September average maximum by several degrees, reinforcing market-implied odds around the upper 20s while capping the chance of 30 °C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,492Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation that supports a daily maximum near 27–28 °C in Milan on September 14. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized heating in the Po Valley, keeping the 28 °C and 29 °C bins as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing. No frontal passages or significant cloud cover are expected before evening, and recent model updates have shown little change over the past 24 hours. This late-summer warmth exceeds the long-term September average maximum by several degrees, reinforcing market-implied odds around the upper 20s while capping the chance of 30 °C or higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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