**Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather station have confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 23°C on September 13, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and afternoon temperatures peaking near this level—consistent with ensemble model guidance and historical September averages around 20°C—underpin the consensus. Forecasters from agencies such as the German Weather Service noted limited diurnal range due to cloud cover and light precipitation later in the day. While measurement revisions are theoretically possible, the alignment of real-time data with the 23°C threshold makes alternative outcomes (below 22°C or 24°C and above) negligible in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de setembro?
23°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,647 Vol.
$50,647 Vol.
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,647 Vol.
$50,647 Vol.
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather station have confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 23°C on September 13, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and afternoon temperatures peaking near this level—consistent with ensemble model guidance and historical September averages around 20°C—underpin the consensus. Forecasters from agencies such as the German Weather Service noted limited diurnal range due to cloud cover and light precipitation later in the day. While measurement revisions are theoretically possible, the alignment of real-time data with the 23°C threshold makes alternative outcomes (below 22°C or 24°C and above) negligible in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions