Persistent high pressure and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico maintain warm, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting overnight lows near 79–81°F for Houston on September 15. This pattern, reinforced by a stalled subtropical ridge, has produced above-average minimum temperatures throughout early September and limits the potential for radiational cooling or frontal passages that could drive readings to 71°F or below. Afternoon heating supports highs in the mid-90s, yet the market’s near-even split between the sub-72°F and 90°F+ extremes reflects trader focus on tail risks from any unexpected model shift or localized sea-breeze effects rather than the consensus central tendency around 80°F. Updated short-range guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Houston em 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Houston em 15 de setembro?
71°F ou menos 100%
90°F ou mais 98%
78-79°F 40%
26,7-27,2°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
71°F ou menos
100%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
40%
26,7-27,2°C
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90°F ou mais
98%
71°F ou menos 100%
90°F ou mais 98%
78-79°F 40%
26,7-27,2°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
40%
26,7-27,2°C
$0 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
39%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
39%
90°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico maintain warm, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting overnight lows near 79–81°F for Houston on September 15. This pattern, reinforced by a stalled subtropical ridge, has produced above-average minimum temperatures throughout early September and limits the potential for radiational cooling or frontal passages that could drive readings to 71°F or below. Afternoon heating supports highs in the mid-90s, yet the market’s near-even split between the sub-72°F and 90°F+ extremes reflects trader focus on tail risks from any unexpected model shift or localized sea-breeze effects rather than the consensus central tendency around 80°F. Updated short-range guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico maintain warm, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting overnight lows near 79–81°F for Houston on September 15. This pattern, reinforced by a stalled subtropical ridge, has produced above-average minimum temperatures throughout early September and limits the potential for radiational cooling or frontal passages that could drive readings to 71°F or below. Afternoon heating supports highs in the mid-90s, yet the market’s near-even split between the sub-72°F and 90°F+ extremes reflects trader focus on tail risks from any unexpected model shift or localized sea-breeze effects rather than the consensus central tendency around 80°F. Updated short-range guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico maintain warm, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting overnight lows near 79–81°F for Houston on September 15. This pattern, reinforced by a stalled subtropical ridge, has produced above-average minimum temperatures throughout early September and limits the potential for radiational cooling or frontal passages that could drive readings to 71°F or below. Afternoon heating supports highs in the mid-90s, yet the market’s near-even split between the sub-72°F and 90°F+ extremes reflects trader focus on tail risks from any unexpected model shift or localized sea-breeze effects rather than the consensus central tendency around 80°F. Updated short-range guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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