Current forecast models for Incheon indicate a stable high-pressure regime with northwesterly flow and clear skies driving overnight radiative cooling, producing expected minimum temperatures of 17–19°C on September 15. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values due to small variations in wind speed, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the market’s balanced 50% odds on the ≤12°C and ≥22°C tails alongside 20% probabilities across the 13–21°C buckets. Official agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration will issue updated runs and observations through the resolution window, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or cloud cover able to adjust the final recorded low by several degrees.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 15 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 98%
13°C 39%
16°C 21%
17°C 21%
12°C ou menos
98%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C ou mais
2%
12°C ou menos 98%
13°C 39%
16°C 21%
17°C 21%
12°C ou menos
98%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Incheon indicate a stable high-pressure regime with northwesterly flow and clear skies driving overnight radiative cooling, producing expected minimum temperatures of 17–19°C on September 15. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values due to small variations in wind speed, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the market’s balanced 50% odds on the ≤12°C and ≥22°C tails alongside 20% probabilities across the 13–21°C buckets. Official agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration will issue updated runs and observations through the resolution window, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or cloud cover able to adjust the final recorded low by several degrees.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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