Official measurements from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 29, driving the market to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, summer highs are typically moderated by thinner atmosphere and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season; satellite and surface data showed persistent moisture and limited solar heating that day, aligning with climatological norms around 22–25°C. Traders placed full weight on verified government and international monitoring agency reports, which define the resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or redefinition of the observation period could realistically alter the result, scenarios unsupported by available records.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 29 de agosto?
23°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,735 Vol.
$15,735 Vol.
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,735 Vol.
$15,735 Vol.
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official measurements from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 29, driving the market to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, summer highs are typically moderated by thinner atmosphere and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season; satellite and surface data showed persistent moisture and limited solar heating that day, aligning with climatological norms around 22–25°C. Traders placed full weight on verified government and international monitoring agency reports, which define the resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or redefinition of the observation period could realistically alter the result, scenarios unsupported by available records.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions