Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Madrid will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow on September 6, supporting daytime heating toward a peak near 36–37 °C. Surface high pressure and dew points around 8–10 °C limit cloud development and moisture, allowing insolation to drive temperatures several degrees above the 28.7 °C climatological average while remaining well below the 38.9 °C daily record. Minor differences between 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual high-cloud cover that could shave 1 °C from the maximum. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and observed trends from September 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 6 de setembro?
37°C 48%
36°C 43%
38°C 9%
35°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
33°C ou menos
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
43%
37°C
48%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C ou mais
<1%
37°C 48%
36°C 43%
38°C 9%
35°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
33°C ou menos
$495 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$389 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,285 Vol.
3%
36°C
$1,935 Vol.
43%
37°C
$2,086 Vol.
48%
38°C
$1,792 Vol.
9%
39°C
$415 Vol.
1%
40°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
43°C ou mais
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Madrid will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow on September 6, supporting daytime heating toward a peak near 36–37 °C. Surface high pressure and dew points around 8–10 °C limit cloud development and moisture, allowing insolation to drive temperatures several degrees above the 28.7 °C climatological average while remaining well below the 38.9 °C daily record. Minor differences between 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual high-cloud cover that could shave 1 °C from the maximum. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and observed trends from September 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,497Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Madrid will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow on September 6, supporting daytime heating toward a peak near 36–37 °C. Surface high pressure and dew points around 8–10 °C limit cloud development and moisture, allowing insolation to drive temperatures several degrees above the 28.7 °C climatological average while remaining well below the 38.9 °C daily record. Minor differences between 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual high-cloud cover that could shave 1 °C from the maximum. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and observed trends from September 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,497Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Madrid will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow on September 6, supporting daytime heating toward a peak near 36–37 °C. Surface high pressure and dew points around 8–10 °C limit cloud development and moisture, allowing insolation to drive temperatures several degrees above the 28.7 °C climatological average while remaining well below the 38.9 °C daily record. Minor differences between 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in afternoon wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual high-cloud cover that could shave 1 °C from the maximum. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and observed trends from September 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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