Recent Met Office guidance positions a 26°C high as the most probable outcome for London on September 6, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that will allow afternoon temperatures to peak near that level after a mild start. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. The forecast reflects typical early-September climatology, with no strong anomalous ridge or cold front expected to shift the thermal profile substantially before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 6 de setembro?
26°C 45%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
28°C 9%
NOVO
$13,592 Vol.
NOVO
$13,592 Vol.
6 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
45%
27°C
21%
28°C
9%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou superior
<1%
26°C 45%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
28°C 9%
NOVO
$13,592 Vol.
NOVO
$13,592 Vol.
6 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$731 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$693 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,187 Vol.
4%
25°C
$2,897 Vol.
22%
26°C
$1,964 Vol.
45%
27°C
$2,849 Vol.
21%
28°C
$2,217 Vol.
9%
29°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou superior
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance positions a 26°C high as the most probable outcome for London on September 6, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that will allow afternoon temperatures to peak near that level after a mild start. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. The forecast reflects typical early-September climatology, with no strong anomalous ridge or cold front expected to shift the thermal profile substantially before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$13,592Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance positions a 26°C high as the most probable outcome for London on September 6, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that will allow afternoon temperatures to peak near that level after a mild start. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. The forecast reflects typical early-September climatology, with no strong anomalous ridge or cold front expected to shift the thermal profile substantially before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,592Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance positions a 26°C high as the most probable outcome for London on September 6, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that will allow afternoon temperatures to peak near that level after a mild start. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. The forecast reflects typical early-September climatology, with no strong anomalous ridge or cold front expected to shift the thermal profile substantially before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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