National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 4 point to a high of 97°F under mostly sunny skies with a slight afternoon storm chance, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and high dew points near 75°F are sustaining heat and humidity typical of peak summer, with heat indices projected above 105°F despite modest sea-breeze moderation. Recent model consensus from NWS and local analyses shows limited cooling potential from isolated convection, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Historical August averages near 94°F provide context for the current elevated pattern driven by the ongoing ridge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston no dia 4 de agosto?
96-97°F 55%
94-95°F 27%
98-99°F 12%
92-93°F 2.6%
$14,770 Vol.
$14,770 Vol.
4 ago 2026
87°F ou menos
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
55%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F ou mais
1%
96-97°F 55%
94-95°F 27%
98-99°F 12%
92-93°F 2.6%
$14,770 Vol.
$14,770 Vol.
4 ago 2026
87°F ou menos
$383 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$357 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$547 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$1,364 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$3,697 Vol.
27%
96-97°F
$3,294 Vol.
55%
98-99°F
$2,621 Vol.
12%
100-101°F
$807 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$610 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$498 Vol.
<1%
106°F ou mais
$592 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 4 point to a high of 97°F under mostly sunny skies with a slight afternoon storm chance, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and high dew points near 75°F are sustaining heat and humidity typical of peak summer, with heat indices projected above 105°F despite modest sea-breeze moderation. Recent model consensus from NWS and local analyses shows limited cooling potential from isolated convection, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Historical August averages near 94°F provide context for the current elevated pattern driven by the ongoing ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$14,770Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 4 point to a high of 97°F under mostly sunny skies with a slight afternoon storm chance, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and high dew points near 75°F are sustaining heat and humidity typical of peak summer, with heat indices projected above 105°F despite modest sea-breeze moderation. Recent model consensus from NWS and local analyses shows limited cooling potential from isolated convection, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Historical August averages near 94°F provide context for the current elevated pattern driven by the ongoing ridge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,770Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 4 point to a high of 97°F under mostly sunny skies with a slight afternoon storm chance, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and high dew points near 75°F are sustaining heat and humidity typical of peak summer, with heat indices projected above 105°F despite modest sea-breeze moderation. Recent model consensus from NWS and local analyses shows limited cooling potential from isolated convection, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Historical August averages near 94°F provide context for the current elevated pattern driven by the ongoing ridge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions