Current short-range forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will most likely reach 29–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly warm-air advection, daytime cloud cover that could limit insolation, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by light winds. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from minor timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, while climatological August highs average near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 28 °C during similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 6 de agosto?
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
3%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$21 Vol.
2%
26°C
$92 Vol.
3%
27°C
$5 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$15 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$44 Vol.
14%
32°C
$20 Vol.
4%
33°C ou mais
$22 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will most likely reach 29–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly warm-air advection, daytime cloud cover that could limit insolation, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by light winds. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from minor timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, while climatological August highs average near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 28 °C during similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$220Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will most likely reach 29–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly warm-air advection, daytime cloud cover that could limit insolation, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by light winds. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from minor timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, while climatological August highs average near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 28 °C during similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$220Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will most likely reach 29–30 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly warm-air advection, daytime cloud cover that could limit insolation, and boundary-layer mixing influenced by light winds. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from minor timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, while climatological August highs average near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 28 °C during similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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