Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 6 will most likely reach 32°C or 33°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Typical early-August conditions feature high pressure and light winds under the subtropical ridge, supporting daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C, with limited potential for intensification from regional heat advection. Updated model runs show consistency in this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or sea breeze timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical data confirm August extremes rarely exceed 34°C in the coastal plain without anomalous synoptic patterns. Traders are monitoring the next Israeli Meteorological Service briefing and ensemble updates for any shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 6 de agosto?
32°C 59%
33°C 31%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
31%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
32°C 59%
33°C 31%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
31%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 6 will most likely reach 32°C or 33°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Typical early-August conditions feature high pressure and light winds under the subtropical ridge, supporting daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C, with limited potential for intensification from regional heat advection. Updated model runs show consistency in this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or sea breeze timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical data confirm August extremes rarely exceed 34°C in the coastal plain without anomalous synoptic patterns. Traders are monitoring the next Israeli Meteorological Service briefing and ensemble updates for any shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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