Current forecasts from meteorological models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 6 near the long-term August average of 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean summer. Light winds, minimal cloud cover, and moderate daytime heating support this range, with ensemble runs showing limited deviation and low risk of a heatwave or significant cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 28 °C, aligns with these outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 30 °C+ indicate expectations of no anomalous warming. Updated model guidance and any revisions from regional services will be key near-term drivers before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 6 de agosto?
28°C 45%
27°C 28%
29°C 21%
30°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
28%
28°C
45%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
2%
28°C 45%
27°C 28%
29°C 21%
30°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
1%
25°C
$21 Vol.
5%
26°C
$24 Vol.
4%
27°C
$55 Vol.
28%
28°C
$96 Vol.
45%
29°C
$23 Vol.
21%
30°C
$18 Vol.
8%
31°C
$21 Vol.
2%
32°C ou mais
$21 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 6 near the long-term August average of 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean summer. Light winds, minimal cloud cover, and moderate daytime heating support this range, with ensemble runs showing limited deviation and low risk of a heatwave or significant cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 28 °C, aligns with these outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 30 °C+ indicate expectations of no anomalous warming. Updated model guidance and any revisions from regional services will be key near-term drivers before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$329Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 6 near the long-term August average of 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean summer. Light winds, minimal cloud cover, and moderate daytime heating support this range, with ensemble runs showing limited deviation and low risk of a heatwave or significant cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 28 °C, aligns with these outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 30 °C+ indicate expectations of no anomalous warming. Updated model guidance and any revisions from regional services will be key near-term drivers before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$329Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models place Istanbul's peak temperature on August 6 near the long-term August average of 27–29 °C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean summer. Light winds, minimal cloud cover, and moderate daytime heating support this range, with ensemble runs showing limited deviation and low risk of a heatwave or significant cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 28 °C, aligns with these outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 30 °C+ indicate expectations of no anomalous warming. Updated model guidance and any revisions from regional services will be key near-term drivers before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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