Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 4, 2026, point to a high near 99–101°F under persistent upper-level ridging, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This setup aligns with typical August climatology for central Texas, where the average daily high reaches 97–98°F, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth without incoming moisture or frontal relief. Market-implied odds favoring 98–101°F reflect this consensus from official guidance, while lower probabilities for 102°F+ or sub-98°F outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in maximum temperatures measured at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 4 de agosto?
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 5%
102-103°F 4.9%
NOVO
$12,296 Vol.
NOVO
$12,296 Vol.
4 ago 2026
89°F ou menos
<1%
32-33°C
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou mais
<1%
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 5%
102-103°F 4.9%
NOVO
$12,296 Vol.
NOVO
$12,296 Vol.
4 ago 2026
89°F ou menos
$298 Vol.
<1%
32-33°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$807 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$765 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,309 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$3,328 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$1,115 Vol.
48%
102-103°F
$857 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$277 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$314 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou mais
$483 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 4, 2026, point to a high near 99–101°F under persistent upper-level ridging, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This setup aligns with typical August climatology for central Texas, where the average daily high reaches 97–98°F, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth without incoming moisture or frontal relief. Market-implied odds favoring 98–101°F reflect this consensus from official guidance, while lower probabilities for 102°F+ or sub-98°F outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in maximum temperatures measured at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$12,296Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 4, 2026, point to a high near 99–101°F under persistent upper-level ridging, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This setup aligns with typical August climatology for central Texas, where the average daily high reaches 97–98°F, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth without incoming moisture or frontal relief. Market-implied odds favoring 98–101°F reflect this consensus from official guidance, while lower probabilities for 102°F+ or sub-98°F outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in maximum temperatures measured at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,296Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin on August 4, 2026, point to a high near 99–101°F under persistent upper-level ridging, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This setup aligns with typical August climatology for central Texas, where the average daily high reaches 97–98°F, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth without incoming moisture or frontal relief. Market-implied odds favoring 98–101°F reflect this consensus from official guidance, while lower probabilities for 102°F+ or sub-98°F outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in maximum temperatures measured at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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