Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Guangzhou on August 31, supported by widespread cloud cover, 65–80% thunderstorm probability, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. High humidity and expected rainfall further cap temperatures below the 33°C climatological average for the date. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with modest probability on 34°C reflecting residual model uncertainty in timing and intensity of convection. No major shifts in steering patterns or tropical systems have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 31 de agosto?
33°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
NOVO
$10,246 Vol.
NOVO
$10,246 Vol.
31 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
11%
32°C
28%
33°C
31%
34°C
19%
35°C
8%
36°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
NOVO
$10,246 Vol.
NOVO
$10,246 Vol.
31 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$1,853 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,367 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,532 Vol.
1%
29°C
$725 Vol.
1%
30°C
$574 Vol.
5%
31°C
$347 Vol.
11%
32°C
$364 Vol.
28%
33°C
$341 Vol.
31%
34°C
$832 Vol.
19%
35°C
$1,097 Vol.
8%
36°C ou mais
$214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Guangzhou on August 31, supported by widespread cloud cover, 65–80% thunderstorm probability, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. High humidity and expected rainfall further cap temperatures below the 33°C climatological average for the date. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with modest probability on 34°C reflecting residual model uncertainty in timing and intensity of convection. No major shifts in steering patterns or tropical systems have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$10,246Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Guangzhou on August 31, supported by widespread cloud cover, 65–80% thunderstorm probability, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. High humidity and expected rainfall further cap temperatures below the 33°C climatological average for the date. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with modest probability on 34°C reflecting residual model uncertainty in timing and intensity of convection. No major shifts in steering patterns or tropical systems have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,246Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Guangzhou on August 31, supported by widespread cloud cover, 65–80% thunderstorm probability, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. High humidity and expected rainfall further cap temperatures below the 33°C climatological average for the date. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C, with modest probability on 34°C reflecting residual model uncertainty in timing and intensity of convection. No major shifts in steering patterns or tropical systems have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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