Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 6 de setembro?
37°C 47%
36°C 32%
35°C 11%
38°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
31°C ou menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
32%
37°C
47%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C ou mais
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 32%
35°C 11%
38°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
31°C ou menos
$190 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$363 Vol.
2%
35°C
$634 Vol.
11%
36°C
$684 Vol.
32%
37°C
$1,043 Vol.
47%
38°C
$866 Vol.
10%
39°C
$229 Vol.
3%
40°C
$402 Vol.
1%
41°C ou mais
$517 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,400Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,400Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, southeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating under low humidity near 30–40%. Current conditions on September 5, with highs near 35°C and clear skies, support modest further warming before a frontal shift expected later in the week. Market-implied odds favoring 37°C reflect trader weighting of upper-end model solutions and historical September variability, while lower probabilities on 35°C or below account for potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased moisture. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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