**Northeast winds and a shift to cooler, drier air are anchoring trader consensus around an upper-70s high for Chicago on September 6.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs project a mostly sunny day with highs in the upper 70s, consistent with the 55.5% market-implied probability for 78-79°F and the 33.5% share for 76-77°F. This follows several days of 90s readings that ended as a ridge weakened and onshore flow strengthened. Historical September 6 averages near 80°F provide context, yet the current steering pattern and lake moderation make temperatures at or above 80°F low-probability outliers. The next NWS forecast updates and any overnight model adjustments will be the key near-term catalysts before official observations determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 6 de setembro?
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
71°F ou menos
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
56%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
30°C - 30,5°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$247 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$154 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$343 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$116 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$1,564 Vol.
56%
80-81°F
$206 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$111 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$268 Vol.
2%
30°C - 30,5°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$225 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou mais
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and a shift to cooler, drier air are anchoring trader consensus around an upper-70s high for Chicago on September 6.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs project a mostly sunny day with highs in the upper 70s, consistent with the 55.5% market-implied probability for 78-79°F and the 33.5% share for 76-77°F. This follows several days of 90s readings that ended as a ridge weakened and onshore flow strengthened. Historical September 6 averages near 80°F provide context, yet the current steering pattern and lake moderation make temperatures at or above 80°F low-probability outliers. The next NWS forecast updates and any overnight model adjustments will be the key near-term catalysts before official observations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,741Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and a shift to cooler, drier air are anchoring trader consensus around an upper-70s high for Chicago on September 6.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs project a mostly sunny day with highs in the upper 70s, consistent with the 55.5% market-implied probability for 78-79°F and the 33.5% share for 76-77°F. This follows several days of 90s readings that ended as a ridge weakened and onshore flow strengthened. Historical September 6 averages near 80°F provide context, yet the current steering pattern and lake moderation make temperatures at or above 80°F low-probability outliers. The next NWS forecast updates and any overnight model adjustments will be the key near-term catalysts before official observations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,741Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast winds and a shift to cooler, drier air are anchoring trader consensus around an upper-70s high for Chicago on September 6.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs project a mostly sunny day with highs in the upper 70s, consistent with the 55.5% market-implied probability for 78-79°F and the 33.5% share for 76-77°F. This follows several days of 90s readings that ended as a ridge weakened and onshore flow strengthened. Historical September 6 averages near 80°F provide context, yet the current steering pattern and lake moderation make temperatures at or above 80°F low-probability outliers. The next NWS forecast updates and any overnight model adjustments will be the key near-term catalysts before official observations determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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