Recent heavy rainfall across southern South Korea, driven by a stationary front and tropical moisture, has moderated temperatures ahead of August 31, positioning 31–33°C as the market's core range with 32°C holding 50% implied probability. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima near 29–32°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting solar heating compared to July's record heat. Persistent high humidity and southwesterly flow further cap peaks, consistent with historical late-August climatology showing averages near 28–30°C. Updated model runs through August 30 show minimal upward revisions, reinforcing trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 31 de agosto?
32°C 50%
31°C 24%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
50%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 24%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
50%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across southern South Korea, driven by a stationary front and tropical moisture, has moderated temperatures ahead of August 31, positioning 31–33°C as the market's core range with 32°C holding 50% implied probability. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima near 29–32°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting solar heating compared to July's record heat. Persistent high humidity and southwesterly flow further cap peaks, consistent with historical late-August climatology showing averages near 28–30°C. Updated model runs through August 30 show minimal upward revisions, reinforcing trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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