Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31 °C in Beijing for 31 August under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. High pressure promotes subsidence warming while maximizing solar insolation, yet the onshore component of the wind limits afternoon peaks relative to recent 32–33 °C readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow because no frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected before resolution, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and final GFS/ECMWF runs on the morning of the 31st will provide the decisive observational anchor.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim em 31 de agosto?
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
NOVO
$12,709 Vol.
NOVO
$12,709 Vol.
31 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
44%
31°C
35%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
NOVO
$12,709 Vol.
NOVO
$12,709 Vol.
31 ago 2026
25°C or below
$742 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$585 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,105 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,313 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,236 Vol.
44%
31°C
$1,383 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,242 Vol.
10%
33°C
$1,619 Vol.
2%
34°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,659 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31 °C in Beijing for 31 August under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. High pressure promotes subsidence warming while maximizing solar insolation, yet the onshore component of the wind limits afternoon peaks relative to recent 32–33 °C readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow because no frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected before resolution, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and final GFS/ECMWF runs on the morning of the 31st will provide the decisive observational anchor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,709Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31 °C in Beijing for 31 August under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. High pressure promotes subsidence warming while maximizing solar insolation, yet the onshore component of the wind limits afternoon peaks relative to recent 32–33 °C readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow because no frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected before resolution, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and final GFS/ECMWF runs on the morning of the 31st will provide the decisive observational anchor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,709Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31 °C in Beijing for 31 August under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. High pressure promotes subsidence warming while maximizing solar insolation, yet the onshore component of the wind limits afternoon peaks relative to recent 32–33 °C readings. Ensemble spread remains narrow because no frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected before resolution, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and final GFS/ECMWF runs on the morning of the 31st will provide the decisive observational anchor.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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