**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara GA-13
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara GA-13
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$19,979 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$19,477 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance.
State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$39,455Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance.
State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,455Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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