Florida's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18. Republican Byron Donalds leads early polling averages by wide margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by strong statewide Republican performance in recent cycles and a trifecta in state government. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including David Jolly and Jerry Demings, trail substantially in hypothetical November pairings. These dynamics, alongside Florida's established partisan tilt and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5 percent implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
83%
Democrata
17%
$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$14,523 Vol.
83%
Democrata
$20,439 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18. Republican Byron Donalds leads early polling averages by wide margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by strong statewide Republican performance in recent cycles and a trifecta in state government. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including David Jolly and Jerry Demings, trail substantially in hypothetical November pairings. These dynamics, alongside Florida's established partisan tilt and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$34,962Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18. Republican Byron Donalds leads early polling averages by wide margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by strong statewide Republican performance in recent cycles and a trifecta in state government. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including David Jolly and Jerry Demings, trail substantially in hypothetical November pairings. These dynamics, alongside Florida's established partisan tilt and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$34,962Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18. Republican Byron Donalds leads early polling averages by wide margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by strong statewide Republican performance in recent cycles and a trifecta in state government. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including David Jolly and Jerry Demings, trail substantially in hypothetical November pairings. These dynamics, alongside Florida's established partisan tilt and limited recent polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5 percent implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions