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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua
Política·México

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua
Política·México

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 55%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 22%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 14%

Julián LeBarón 5.5%

Polymarket

$15,387 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 55%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 22%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 14%

Julián LeBarón 5.5%

Polymarket

$15,387 Vol.

icon for Marco Bonilla Mendoza

Marco Bonilla Mendoza

$4,970 Vol.

55%

icon for Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

$2,688 Vol.

22%

icon for Andrea Chávez Treviño

Andrea Chávez Treviño

$2,652 Vol.

14%

icon for Julián LeBarón

Julián LeBarón

$581 Vol.

6%

icon for Martín Chaparro Payán

Martín Chaparro Payán

$397 Vol.

3%

icon for Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

$346 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniela Álvarez Hernández

Daniela Álvarez Hernández

$398 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vázquez Robles

Mario Vázquez Robles

$346 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

$436 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jesús Valenciano García

Jesús Valenciano García

$376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

$396 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francisco Sánchez Villegas

Francisco Sánchez Villegas

$336 Vol.

10%

icon for Gilberto Loya Chávez

Gilberto Loya Chávez

$376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosana Díaz Reyes

Rosana Díaz Reyes

$394 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

$338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graciela Ortiz González

Graciela Ortiz González

$356 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza holds the strongest position among PAN aspirants for the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial race, while Morena’s internal selection process pits Cruz Pérez Cuéllar against Andrea Chávez Treviño and several lower-profile contenders. Recent party conventions and licensing requests by Juárez mayor Pérez Cuéllar and senator Chávez have clarified the Morena field, yet lingering divisions within the coalition and criticism of the current PAN governor’s security and federal cooperation policies keep the contest fluid. Potential PAN-PRI coordination around Bonilla, combined with polling that shows narrow gaps once nominees are fixed, sustains competitive implied probabilities. Upcoming internal surveys, formal nominations, and any alliance announcements before year-end could widen or narrow margins by clarifying voter blocs in key urban centers like Chihuahua capital and Ciudad Juárez.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$15,387
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza holds the strongest position among PAN aspirants for the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial race, while Morena’s internal selection process pits Cruz Pérez Cuéllar against Andrea Chávez Treviño and several lower-profile contenders. Recent party conventions and licensing requests by Juárez mayor Pérez Cuéllar and senator Chávez have clarified the Morena field, yet lingering divisions within the coalition and criticism of the current PAN governor’s security and federal cooperation policies keep the contest fluid. Potential PAN-PRI coordination around Bonilla, combined with polling that shows narrow gaps once nominees are fixed, sustains competitive implied probabilities. Upcoming internal surveys, formal nominations, and any alliance announcements before year-end could widen or narrow margins by clarifying voter blocs in key urban centers like Chihuahua capital and Ciudad Juárez.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$15,387
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Bonilla Mendoza" at 56%, followed by "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" has generated $15.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" is "Marco Bonilla Mendoza" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.