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icon for Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec

icon for Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec

Éloïse Coulombe 59%

Marie-Josée Morency 23%

Gabriel Coulombe 16%

Seynabou Top 3.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Éloïse Coulombe 59%

Marie-Josée Morency 23%

Gabriel Coulombe 16%

Seynabou Top 3.8%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Éloïse Coulombe

Éloïse Coulombe

$2,630 Vol.

59%

icon for Marie-Josée Morency

Marie-Josée Morency

$865 Vol.

23%

icon for Gabriel Coulombe

Gabriel Coulombe

$2,352 Vol.

16%

icon for Seynabou Top

Seynabou Top

$532 Vol.

4%

icon for Georges Goma

Georges Goma

$403 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Éloïse Coulombe of the Parti conservateur du Québec holds the highest implied probability in this Charlesbourg riding market ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Recent polling averages and seat projections from outlets such as 338Canada show the PCQ leading locally with roughly 36 percent support, ahead of the Parti Québécois and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, which is not re-nominating its sitting MNA. Coulombe’s campaign has emphasized housing affordability, tax relief, and youth priorities, drawing consistent local attention during the nomination period that closes September 17. The other listed candidates, including Marie-Josée Morency (CAQ), Gabriel Coulombe (PQ), Seynabou Top (Liberal), and Georges Goma (Québec solidaire), trail in both riding-specific forecasts and broader provincial trends that favor opposition gains in the Capitale-Nationale region. Trader pricing appears to track these localized polling shifts and the absence of major late developments that would alter the frontrunner’s position.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$6,781
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Éloïse Coulombe of the Parti conservateur du Québec holds the highest implied probability in this Charlesbourg riding market ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Recent polling averages and seat projections from outlets such as 338Canada show the PCQ leading locally with roughly 36 percent support, ahead of the Parti Québécois and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, which is not re-nominating its sitting MNA. Coulombe’s campaign has emphasized housing affordability, tax relief, and youth priorities, drawing consistent local attention during the nomination period that closes September 17. The other listed candidates, including Marie-Josée Morency (CAQ), Gabriel Coulombe (PQ), Seynabou Top (Liberal), and Georges Goma (Québec solidaire), trail in both riding-specific forecasts and broader provincial trends that favor opposition gains in the Capitale-Nationale region. Trader pricing appears to track these localized polling shifts and the absence of major late developments that would alter the frontrunner’s position.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$6,781
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Éloïse Coulombe" at 59%, followed by "Marie-Josée Morency" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" is "Éloïse Coulombe" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marie-Josée Morency" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Charlesbourg Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.