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icon for Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina

icon for Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.4%

Lula <1%

Zema <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.4%

Lula <1%

Zema <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$1,876 Vol.

97%

icon for Lula

Lula

$325 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$298 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$298 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$289 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$399 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$289 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$399 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polling due to the state's conservative voter base and consistent right-wing preferences in recent cycles. Local surveys from May through August 2026 show him at 45-51% against Lula in the low 20s, reflecting high disapproval of the incumbent administration and strong Liberal Party organization. The PL slate, including Senate candidates tied to the Bolsonaro family and allied governor Jorginho Mello, has consolidated support through targeted events and promises of greater federal infrastructure investment. National polling indicates a tighter contest overall, yet Santa Catarina's historical margins for similar candidates limit fragmentation risks. Late developments such as vote splitting among other right-leaning names or shifts in turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained dominance through the October vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$5,665
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polling due to the state's conservative voter base and consistent right-wing preferences in recent cycles. Local surveys from May through August 2026 show him at 45-51% against Lula in the low 20s, reflecting high disapproval of the incumbent administration and strong Liberal Party organization. The PL slate, including Senate candidates tied to the Bolsonaro family and allied governor Jorginho Mello, has consolidated support through targeted events and promises of greater federal infrastructure investment. National polling indicates a tighter contest overall, yet Santa Catarina's historical margins for similar candidates limit fragmentation risks. Late developments such as vote splitting among other right-leaning names or shifts in turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained dominance through the October vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$5,665
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flavio Bolsonaro" at 97%, followed by "Lula" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina" is "Flavio Bolsonaro" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lula" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição presidencial do Brasil Primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Santa Catarina" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.